Philadelphia Fed SPF forecast accuracy
Compare current-year, one-year-ahead, and two-year-ahead errors within the same indicator.
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Philadelphia Fed SPF
4 forecast-history pairs are tracked here.
Inflation, Verbraucherpreise (jährlich %)
Unit: %
| Country | Current-year MAE | 1-year MAE | 2-year MAE | 1-year average error | 1-year direction miss | Latest direction miss | 1-year observations | Latest vintage | View history |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Vereinigte Staaten
USA
|
0.40% | 0.96% | 1.33% | 0.10% | 32% | 2021 Q4 | 170 | 2024 Q4 | View history |
BIP (US-Dollar, aktuell)
Unit: US$
| Country | Current-year MAE | 1-year MAE | 2-year MAE | 1-year average error | 1-year direction miss | Latest direction miss | 1-year observations | Latest vintage | View history |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Vereinigte Staaten
USA
|
$411.90B | $506.34B | - | -$414.43B | 46% | 2019 Q4 | 170 | 2024 Q4 | View history |
BIP-Wachstum (jährlich %)
Unit: %
| Country | Current-year MAE | 1-year MAE | 2-year MAE | 1-year average error | 1-year direction miss | Latest direction miss | 1-year observations | Latest vintage | View history |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Vereinigte Staaten
USA
|
1.22% | 1.24% | 1.13% | -0.08% | 26% | 2022 Q4 | 170 | 2024 Q4 | View history |
Arbeitslosigkeit, insgesamt (% der Erwerbsbevölkerung)
Unit: %
| Country | Current-year MAE | 1-year MAE | 2-year MAE | 1-year average error | 1-year direction miss | Latest direction miss | 1-year observations | Latest vintage | View history |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Vereinigte Staaten
USA
|
0.17% | 0.68% | 0.94% | -0.07% | 30% | 2022 Q4 | 140 | 2025 Q4 | View history |