Inflación, precios al consumidor (% anual) forecast accuracy | IMF WEO Historical Forecasts

Compare current-year, one-year-ahead, and two-year-ahead errors within the same indicator.

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Indicator: Inflación, precios al consumidor (% anual) Source: IMF WEO Historical Forecasts
IMF WEO Historical Forecasts 188
pairs 1 indicators
188 countries Latest vintage: 2024 Q4

IMF WEO Historical Forecasts

188 forecast-history pairs are tracked here.

Inflación, precios al consumidor (% anual)

Unit: %

Serie Temporal
Country Current-year MAE 1-year MAE 2-year MAE 1-year average error 1-year direction miss Latest direction miss 1-year observations Latest vintage View history
Francia
FRA
0.25% 0.73% 0.80% -0.03% 43% 2021 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Advanced Economies
ADV
0.19% 0.73% 0.78% -0.13% 34% 2021 Q4 67 2024 Q4 View history
Japón
JPN
0.27% 0.74% 1.09% 0.19% 40% 2022 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Canadá
CAN
0.28% 0.76% 0.76% -0.05% 24% 2021 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Noruega
NOR
0.42% 0.85% 0.87% -0.01% 26% 2021 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Suiza
CHE
0.26% 0.85% 0.88% 0.21% 41% 2021 Q2 68 2024 Q4 View history
Países Bajos
NLD
0.42% 0.86% 0.85% -0.31% 38% 2023 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Dinamarca
DNK
0.46% 0.88% 0.84% 0.12% 50% 2021 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Malta
MLT
0.64% 0.88% 0.94% 0.08% 26% 2021 Q2 68 2024 Q4 View history
Alemania
DEU
0.26% 0.89% 1.00% -0.24% 43% 2022 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Túnez
TUN
0.66% 0.94% 1.06% -0.17% 43% 2023 Q4 67 2024 Q4 View history
Reino Unido
GBR
0.51% 0.94% 0.96% 0.01% 43% 2022 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Austria
AUT
0.38% 0.94% 1.03% -0.41% 46% 2021 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Luxemburgo
LUX
0.45% 1.01% 1.07% -0.12% 39% 2021 Q4 62 2024 Q4 View history
Italia
ITA
0.32% 1.02% 1.06% -0.32% 43% 2021 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Bélgica
BEL
0.41% 1.06% 1.02% -0.43% 31% 2023 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Nueva Zelanda
NZL
0.50% 1.08% 1.15% -0.13% 29% 2021 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Portugal
PRT
0.49% 1.10% 1.27% -0.22% 34% 2021 Q2 68 2024 Q4 View history
Dominica
DMA
1.13% 1.13% 1.32% 0.20% 29% 2021 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Brunéi Darussalam
BRN
0.91% 1.19% 1.27% 0.60% 44% 2023 Q4 48 2024 Q4 View history
España
ESP
0.36% 1.19% 1.22% -0.33% 43% 2023 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Mundo
WLD
1.07% 1.25% 1.30% 0.26% 36% 2021 Q2 55 2024 Q4 View history
Bahamas
BHS
0.98% 1.25% 1.24% 0.34% 34% 2023 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Finlandia
FIN
0.56% 1.26% 1.44% 0.27% 41% 2021 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Corea, Rep. de
KOR
0.50% 1.26% 1.24% -0.05% 38% 2021 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Australia
AUS
0.53% 1.27% 1.26% 0.19% 29% 2021 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
San Marino
SMR
0.52% 1.35% 1.30% -0.34% 53% 2022 Q4 19 2024 Q4 View history
Malasia
MYS
0.69% 1.35% 1.32% 0.60% 40% 2023 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Suecia
SWE
0.69% 1.38% 1.51% 0.29% 29% 2022 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Macao, RAE de China
MAC
0.84% 1.39% 1.38% 1.06% 43% 2022 Q4 14 2023 Q4 View history
Antigua y Barbuda
ATG
1.00% 1.48% 1.55% -0.20% 36% 2023 Q4 52 2024 Q4 View history
Irlanda
IRL
0.72% 1.49% 1.59% -0.09% 24% 2021 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Marruecos
MAR
0.99% 1.49% 1.40% 0.23% 31% 2021 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Granada
GRD
1.23% 1.50% 1.51% 0.45% 40% 2023 Q2 68 2024 Q4 View history
Chipre
CYP
0.71% 1.50% 1.34% 0.16% 39% 2021 Q4 67 2024 Q4 View history
Singapur
SGP
0.71% 1.51% 1.50% 0.06% 38% 2021 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Vanuatu
VUT
1.41% 1.52% 1.61% 0.02% 44% 2022 Q4 66 2023 Q4 View history
Namibia
NAM
0.89% 1.53% 1.87% 0.39% 36% 2019 Q4 44 2024 Q4 View history
Panamá
PAN
0.73% 1.53% 1.61% 0.43% 46% 2023 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Chile
CHL
0.79% 1.56% 1.45% -0.38% 18% 2021 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Baréin
BHR
1.15% 1.57% 1.47% 0.78% 35% 2019 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Fiji
FJI
1.54% 1.62% 1.64% 0.13% 22% 2019 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Tailandia
THA
0.96% 1.68% 1.80% 0.29% 35% 2021 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
San Vicente y las Granadinas
VCT
1.34% 1.72% 1.89% 0.10% 29% 2019 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Grecia
GRC
0.83% 1.76% 1.79% -0.97% 28% 2021 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Hong Kong, RAE de China
HKG
0.83% 1.77% 2.19% 0.64% 40% 2023 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Israel
ISR
0.90% 1.79% 2.06% 0.41% 29% 2021 Q2 68 2024 Q4 View history
Islandia
ISL
0.68% 1.79% 2.21% -1.00% 42% 2022 Q4 62 2024 Q4 View history
Arabia Saudita
SAU
1.10% 1.80% 1.86% 0.53% 40% 2020 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Croacia
HRV
2.99% 1.82% 1.76% -0.14% 38% 2021 Q4 60 2024 Q4 View history
República Eslovaca
SVK
0.57% 1.82% 2.23% -0.69% 37% 2021 Q4 60 2024 Q4 View history
Micronesia, Estados Federados de
FSM
1.80% 1.83% 1.80% 0.74% 54% 2021 Q4 28 2022 Q4 View history
Sudáfrica
ZAF
1.11% 1.83% 1.90% -0.02% 40% 2021 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Uzbekistán
UZB
1.00% 1.85% 3.02% -0.80% 27% 2023 Q4 28 2024 Q4 View history
Yibuti
DJI
1.43% 1.86% 1.57% -0.05% 37% 2020 Q4 48 2024 Q4 View history
Chequia
CZE
0.59% 1.95% 1.99% -0.31% 28% 2021 Q4 60 2024 Q4 View history
Eslovenia
SVN
0.84% 1.96% 2.28% -1.02% 27% 2021 Q4 60 2024 Q4 View history
Filipinas
PHL
1.01% 1.96% 1.66% -0.49% 37% 2022 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
San Cristóbal y Nieves
KNA
1.51% 1.99% 2.09% -0.08% 55% 2021 Q4 66 2023 Q4 View history
Santa Lucía
LCA
1.64% 1.99% 1.78% 0.09% 34% 2021 Q2 68 2024 Q4 View history
Belice
BLZ
1.72% 2.06% 2.01% 0.52% 46% 2021 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Kuwait
KWT
2.00% 2.07% 1.63% 0.32% 38% 2021 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Trinidad y Tobago
TTO
1.70% 2.13% 2.35% -0.95% 37% 2021 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Bután
BTN
1.73% 2.15% 2.44% -0.35% 46% 2023 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Omán
OMN
1.25% 2.16% 2.29% 0.68% 48% 2023 Q4 48 2024 Q4 View history
Montenegro
MNE
0.93% 2.16% 2.23% -0.63% 25% 2021 Q4 32 2024 Q4 View history
Bangladesh
BGD
1.50% 2.16% 2.11% -0.17% 40% 2023 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Mauricio
MUS
1.66% 2.17% 2.22% 0.08% 40% 2021 Q2 68 2024 Q4 View history
Eswatini
SWZ
2.12% 2.22% 2.35% -0.38% 19% 2018 Q4 58 2019 Q4 View history
Jordania
JOR
1.58% 2.23% 2.32% 0.71% 31% 2023 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Barbados
BRB
1.82% 2.26% 2.58% -0.49% 42% 2018 Q4 62 2024 Q4 View history
Cabo Verde
CPV
1.88% 2.28% 2.06% -0.20% 34% 2021 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Emiratos Árabes Unidos
ARE
1.18% 2.30% 2.44% 0.86% 25% 2019 Q4 34 2024 Q4 View history
India
IND
1.29% 2.35% 2.87% -0.95% 49% 2021 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
El Salvador
SLV
1.42% 2.36% 2.39% -0.65% 37% 2021 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Comoras
COM
1.89% 2.41% 2.47% -0.68% 28% 2020 Q4 48 2024 Q4 View history
Botsuana
BWA
1.46% 2.42% 2.64% -1.48% 46% 2023 Q2 68 2024 Q4 View history
Costa de Marfil
CIV
1.50% 2.47% 2.59% -1.15% 32% 2021 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Mauritania
MRT
1.72% 2.50% 2.61% -0.82% 49% 2023 Q2 68 2024 Q4 View history
Gambia
GMB
1.76% 2.51% 2.93% -1.21% 34% 2022 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Colombia
COL
1.22% 2.52% 2.78% -1.48% 29% 2022 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Bosnia y Herzegovina
BIH
1.17% 2.58% 2.37% -0.34% 42% 2021 Q4 38 2024 Q4 View history
Nepal
NPL
1.92% 2.60% 2.55% -0.61% 32% 2022 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Senegal
SEN
1.42% 2.67% 2.71% -0.58% 34% 2021 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Serbia
SRB
0.94% 2.68% 2.88% -1.08% 48% 2022 Q4 33 2024 Q4 View history
Aruba
ABW
2.23% 2.73% - -2.73% 100% 2018 Q4 1 2019 Q4 View history
Macedonia del Norte
MKD
3.29% 2.76% 2.54% -0.05% 30% 2021 Q4 60 2024 Q4 View history
China
CHN
1.41% 2.81% 2.86% -0.10% 40% 2023 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Camerún
CMR
2.21% 2.85% 2.73% -0.72% 37% 2022 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Guyana
GUY
1.82% 2.87% 2.89% -0.42% 41% 2022 Q4 60 2024 Q4 View history
México
MEX
0.87% 2.88% 3.84% -2.54% 28% 2021 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Nicaragua
NIC
1.42% 2.91% 3.22% -0.74% 42% 2021 Q4 50 2024 Q4 View history
Benín
BEN
2.07% 2.98% 3.25% -0.98% 21% 2021 Q4 64 2024 Q4 View history
Uganda
UGA
2.35% 2.99% 3.57% -0.37% 38% 2023 Q2 62 2024 Q4 View history
Burkina Faso
BFA
2.04% 3.05% 3.15% -0.55% 19% 2021 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Maldivas
MDV
3.08% 3.05% 3.38% 0.33% 37% 2022 Q2 68 2024 Q4 View history
Viet Nam
VNM
1.73% 3.10% 3.14% -0.03% 38% 2020 Q4 58 2024 Q4 View history
Qatar
QAT
1.79% 3.13% 3.49% 0.59% 40% 2019 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Islas Salomón
SLB
2.69% 3.16% 3.62% -1.18% 29% 2022 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Camboya
KHM
2.23% 3.16% 3.25% -0.54% 34% 2023 Q4 60 2024 Q4 View history
Albania
ALB
2.22% 3.19% 3.73% 0.17% 31% 2018 Q4 62 2024 Q4 View history
Togo
TGO
2.72% 3.27% 3.31% -0.97% 32% 2021 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Emerging Market and Developing Economies
EMD
2.91% 3.31% 3.98% -2.84% 44% 2021 Q4 66 2024 Q4 View history
Gabón
GAB
2.23% 3.31% 3.25% 0.20% 22% 2020 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Congo, Rep. del
COG
2.12% 3.32% 3.41% -1.14% 32% 2022 Q2 64 2024 Q4 View history
Argelia
DZA
2.99% 3.32% 3.79% -1.20% 38% 2022 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Guatemala
GTM
3.17% 3.35% 2.76% -2.16% 35% 2021 Q2 68 2024 Q4 View history
Palaos
PLW
1.65% 3.36% 3.21% -1.04% 53% 2022 Q4 19 2024 Q4 View history
Mali
MLI
3.13% 3.38% 3.40% -0.13% 24% 2021 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Samoa
WSM
3.47% 3.42% 3.36% -0.60% 25% 2021 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Kiribati
KIR
2.79% 3.44% 3.21% -0.15% 41% 2022 Q4 36 2024 Q4 View history
Níger
NER
2.28% 3.50% 3.67% -0.54% 18% 2023 Q2 68 2024 Q4 View history
Hungría
HUN
1.25% 3.51% 3.94% -2.63% 25% 2022 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
República Centroafricana
CAF
2.72% 3.60% 3.59% -1.04% 29% 2023 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Paraguay
PRY
2.74% 3.61% 3.39% -2.21% 40% 2021 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Papúa Nueva Guinea
PNG
2.58% 3.62% 3.84% -1.54% 41% 2023 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Guinea Ecuatorial
GNQ
2.55% 3.66% 3.67% -0.51% 34% 2022 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Tonga
TON
2.89% 3.69% 3.69% -0.04% 43% 2021 Q4 61 2024 Q4 View history
Timor-Leste
TLS
2.24% 3.74% 4.48% -0.87% 45% 2022 Q4 40 2024 Q4 View history
Costa Rica
CRI
2.81% 3.75% 3.41% -1.69% 34% 2023 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Indonesia
IDN
1.17% 3.86% 4.25% -1.86% 41% 2022 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Lesoto
LSO
3.51% 4.00% 3.78% 0.44% 27% 2021 Q4 62 2024 Q4 View history
Seychelles
SYC
2.39% 4.04% 4.41% -0.13% 22% 2022 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Letonia
LVA
1.36% 4.20% 4.14% -2.11% 37% 2021 Q4 62 2024 Q4 View history
Mozambique
MOZ
2.26% 4.25% 4.08% -0.91% 18% 2021 Q2 40 2024 Q4 View history
Pakistán
PAK
2.34% 4.39% 4.86% -1.20% 49% 2022 Q2 68 2024 Q4 View history
Bolivia
BOL
3.12% 4.44% 4.72% 0.85% 50% 2020 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Egipto, Rep. Árabe
EGY
3.44% 4.56% 5.32% -1.27% 38% 2022 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Afganistán
AFG
2.13% 4.69% 4.97% -0.36% 27% 2021 Q2 35 2021 Q2 View history
Estonia
EST
2.22% 4.74% 4.32% -2.37% 40% 2021 Q2 62 2024 Q4 View history
Honduras
HND
3.68% 4.84% 4.56% -3.75% 38% 2021 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Ruanda
RWA
3.29% 4.94% 5.04% -2.06% 21% 2022 Q4 64 2024 Q4 View history
Sierra Leona
SLE
4.44% 4.94% 5.97% -2.25% 53% 2022 Q4 36 2024 Q4 View history
Polonia
POL
7.39% 4.97% 4.76% -3.54% 29% 2021 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Liberia
LBR
3.31% 4.98% 5.23% -0.66% 43% 2022 Q2 46 2024 Q4 View history
Lituania
LTU
4.40% 5.11% 4.68% -2.26% 34% 2021 Q4 62 2024 Q4 View history
Tanzania
TZA
3.70% 5.17% 5.44% -4.63% 46% 2023 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Guinea
GIN
3.20% 5.20% 7.51% -3.98% 39% 2023 Q2 40 2024 Q4 View history
Sri Lanka
LKA
2.91% 5.38% 5.47% -2.89% 37% 2021 Q4 67 2023 Q2 View history
República Dominicana
DOM
3.12% 5.50% 4.53% -3.10% 35% 2021 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Madagascar
MDG
3.56% 5.54% 6.39% -4.31% 36% 2022 Q4 66 2023 Q4 View history
República Árabe Siria
SYR
3.61% 5.59% 6.70% -0.22% 34% 2006 Q4 44 2011 Q4 View history
República Kirguisa
KGZ
2.92% 5.83% 6.21% -2.33% 43% 2021 Q4 56 2023 Q4 View history
Chad
TCD
4.11% 5.84% 6.17% -0.78% 19% 2022 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Yemen, Rep.
YEM
4.72% 5.90% 8.31% 2.35% 32% 2013 Q4 40 2014 Q4 View history
Tayikistán
TJK
2.02% 5.95% 5.64% -3.18% 43% 2014 Q4 32 2016 Q4 View history
Kenya
KEN
3.94% 6.41% 6.28% -5.42% 40% 2022 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Santo Tomé y Príncipe
STP
2.87% 6.50% 8.84% -6.27% 43% 2022 Q4 56 2024 Q4 View history
Mongolia
MNG
5.68% 7.55% 6.38% -4.03% 34% 2023 Q4 62 2024 Q4 View history
Ecuador
ECU
4.36% 7.60% 9.24% -6.89% 37% 2019 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Burundi
BDI
4.80% 7.66% 8.57% -3.76% 37% 2022 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Jamaica
JAM
6.92% 7.85% 7.31% -6.83% 43% 2021 Q2 68 2024 Q4 View history
Etiopía
ETH
6.35% 7.99% 8.18% -3.00% 36% 2021 Q2 67 2024 Q4 View history
Haití
HTI
5.87% 8.05% 9.03% -5.91% 32% 2022 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Irán, Rep. Islámica del
IRN
5.19% 8.06% 10.75% -5.24% 46% 2022 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Libia
LBY
6.71% 8.24% 7.31% 2.03% 41% 2023 Q4 66 2024 Q4 View history
Uruguay
URY
6.86% 8.42% 7.87% -6.30% 34% 2023 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Perú
PER
116.73% 8.73% 2.89% -7.84% 22% 2021 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Líbano
LBN
4.15% 9.20% 20.16% -6.57% 45% 2019 Q4 24 2020 Q4 View history
Nigeria
NGA
3.89% 9.24% 11.21% -8.13% 47% 2023 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Guinea-Bisáu
GNB
8.38% 9.54% 8.61% -7.23% 29% 2021 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Ghana
GHA
5.91% 11.10% 12.85% -10.24% 38% 2022 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Lao, RPD
LAO
9.48% 11.82% 12.12% -10.14% 41% 2022 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Malaui
MWI
6.52% 11.95% 13.73% -11.51% 41% 2023 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Türkiye
TUR
4.09% 13.60% 18.06% -9.45% 43% 2023 Q2 68 2024 Q4 View history
Federación de Rusia
RUS
7.54% 14.79% 13.78% -13.54% 37% 2023 Q2 62 2024 Q4 View history
Myanmar
MMR
11.91% 14.97% 17.31% 3.75% 34% 2018 Q4 58 2019 Q4 View history
Zambia
ZMB
12.17% 18.81% 19.77% -17.96% 46% 2023 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Moldavia
MDA
46.60% 20.75% 6.21% -19.19% 32% 2021 Q2 62 2024 Q4 View history
Ucrania
UKR
98.67% 29.82% 22.57% -25.62% 34% 2023 Q4 58 2024 Q4 View history
Sudán
SDN
19.14% 29.90% 32.12% -28.31% 47% 2020 Q4 64 2022 Q4 View history
Rumania
ROU
10.01% 30.14% 29.44% -28.84% 27% 2021 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Venezuela, RB
VEN
35.63% 31.31% 41.78% -24.57% 50% 2015 Q2 16 2016 Q4 View history
Iraq
IRQ
42.50% 43.48% 41.52% -26.23% 38% 2021 Q2 68 2024 Q4 View history
Surinam
SUR
24.37% 44.27% 48.06% -22.37% 47% 2020 Q2 64 2024 Q4 View history
Bulgaria
BGR
12.94% 47.90% 46.12% -46.29% 33% 2021 Q4 67 2024 Q4 View history
Georgia
GEO
2.56% 53.83% 16.28% 43.71% 38% 2023 Q4 60 2024 Q4 View history
Argentina
ARG
13.21% 55.32% 56.27% -53.52% 62% 2023 Q4 10 2024 Q4 View history
Kazajstán
KAZ
33.05% 67.11% 9.46% -65.34% 38% 2021 Q4 62 2024 Q4 View history
Azerbaiyán
AZE
46.86% 68.40% 19.04% -61.85% 34% 2021 Q4 62 2024 Q4 View history
Sudán del Sur
SSD
35.16% 77.25% 80.94% -59.92% 26% 2021 Q4 19 2024 Q4 View history
Zimbabue
ZWE
31.44% 77.98% 88.74% -73.94% 50% 2021 Q4 25 2022 Q4 View history
Belarús
BLR
52.42% 109.91% 50.08% -99.14% 32% 2021 Q4 62 2024 Q4 View history
Armenia
ARM
90.57% 114.46% 8.23% -111.52% 23% 2023 Q4 62 2024 Q4 View history
Brasil
BRA
78.49% 127.95% 154.75% -126.99% 46% 2023 Q2 68 2024 Q4 View history
Angola
AGO
241.35% 258.42% 188.00% -257.80% 33% 2023 Q2 60 2024 Q4 View history
Congo, Rep. Dem. del
COD
1005.67% 1294.49% 1286.09% -1285.75% 31% 2014 Q4 52 2016 Q4 View history
Tuvalu
TUV
0.35% - - - - - - 2011 Q4 View history