宏工作区

将您想要的系列分层并按原样共享视图。

Continuing jobless claims + Initial jobless claims All 2 signals on together Continuing jobless claims + Housing starts + Initial jobless claims 2 of 3 signals on together Continuing jobless claims + Housing starts All 2 signals on together 美国股市 x 通胀 x 政策 标准普尔 500、CPI、联邦基金 美元/日元 x 美日汇率 美元/日元和利率差距 住房 x 负担能力 x 费率 房价、负担能力、利率 欧元通胀 x 欧洲央行利率 x M3 HICP、欧洲央行利率、M3 石油 x 欧元通胀 x 欧洲央行利率 布伦特原油、HICP、欧洲央行利率 商品 x 食品 x 通货膨胀 商品、食品、HICP 黄金 x 美国股票 x 政策 黄金、股票、利率 欧元住房 x 失业率 x 欧洲央行利率 住房、失业率、欧洲央行利率 金属 x 领先指数 x 行业 金属、CLI、工业产出 欧洲天然气 x 欧元通胀 x 欧洲央行利率 欧盟天然气、HICP、欧洲央行利率

How to Read This Pair

A short summary of how this signal tended to show up before recessions and where it stands now.

Takeaway

When at least 2 of these 2 signals are on together, it has tended to show up before recessions, but it is off now.

Before past recessions

Ahead of the Lehman recession, this signal turned on in 2007-11, 1 months before the recession started. There were no extra triggers in the prior 36 months. It was still on when the recession began. Components: Continuing claims z-score above 1.5 / Initial claims z-score above 0.5. It picked up 5 of the last 8 US recessions. After the composite turned on, recession followed within 12 months 56% of the time, with a median lead of 2 months.

Current state

0 of 2 component signals are currently active.

比较图

美国 / Continuing Jobless Claims 1967-01-07 - 2026-03-14 / 3089观测值 / 周度 / 释放延迟 13d
美国 / Continuing Jobless Claims

添加更多系列

使用下面的选项或按国家/地区和指标进行搜索。

最多6个系列

建议的附加组件

这些是添加到您已有的图表中最简单的系列。

甚至在您键入之前就会出现建议。示例：美国 CPI、日本政策利率、标准普尔 500 指数