Инфляция, потребительские цены (годовые %) forecast accuracy | IMF WEO Historical Forecasts

Compare current-year, one-year-ahead, and two-year-ahead errors within the same indicator.

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Indicator: Инфляция, потребительские цены (годовые %) Source: IMF WEO Historical Forecasts
IMF WEO Historical Forecasts 188
pairs 1 indicators
188 countries Latest vintage: 2024 Q4

IMF WEO Historical Forecasts

188 forecast-history pairs are tracked here.

Инфляция, потребительские цены (годовые %)

Unit: %

Временной ряд
Country Current-year MAE 1-year MAE 2-year MAE 1-year average error 1-year direction miss Latest direction miss 1-year observations Latest vintage View history
Франция
FRA
0.25% 0.73% 0.80% -0.03% 43% 2021 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Страны с развитой экономикой
ADV
0.19% 0.73% 0.78% -0.13% 34% 2021 Q4 67 2024 Q4 View history
Япония
JPN
0.27% 0.74% 1.09% 0.19% 40% 2022 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Канада
CAN
0.28% 0.76% 0.76% -0.05% 24% 2021 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Норвегия
NOR
0.42% 0.85% 0.87% -0.01% 26% 2021 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Швейцария
CHE
0.26% 0.85% 0.88% 0.21% 41% 2021 Q2 68 2024 Q4 View history
Нидерланды
NLD
0.41% 0.85% 0.85% -0.32% 40% 2023 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Дания
DNK
0.46% 0.88% 0.84% 0.12% 50% 2021 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Мальта
MLT
0.64% 0.88% 0.94% 0.08% 26% 2021 Q2 68 2024 Q4 View history
Германия
DEU
0.26% 0.89% 1.00% -0.24% 43% 2022 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Тунис
TUN
0.66% 0.94% 1.06% -0.17% 43% 2023 Q4 67 2024 Q4 View history
Великобритания
GBR
0.51% 0.94% 0.96% 0.01% 43% 2022 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Австрия
AUT
0.38% 0.94% 1.03% -0.41% 46% 2021 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Люксембург
LUX
0.45% 1.01% 1.07% -0.12% 39% 2021 Q4 62 2024 Q4 View history
Италия
ITA
0.32% 1.02% 1.06% -0.32% 43% 2021 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Бельгия
BEL
0.41% 1.06% 1.02% -0.43% 31% 2023 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Новая Зеландия
NZL
0.50% 1.08% 1.15% -0.13% 29% 2021 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Португалия
PRT
0.49% 1.10% 1.27% -0.22% 34% 2021 Q2 68 2024 Q4 View history
Доминика
DMA
1.13% 1.13% 1.32% 0.20% 29% 2021 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Бруней-Даруссалам
BRN
0.91% 1.19% 1.27% 0.60% 44% 2023 Q4 48 2024 Q4 View history
Испания
ESP
0.36% 1.19% 1.22% -0.33% 43% 2023 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Мир
WLD
1.07% 1.25% 1.30% 0.26% 36% 2021 Q2 55 2024 Q4 View history
Багамские Острова
BHS
0.98% 1.25% 1.24% 0.34% 34% 2023 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Финляндия
FIN
0.56% 1.26% 1.44% 0.27% 41% 2021 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Корея, респ.
KOR
0.50% 1.26% 1.24% -0.05% 38% 2021 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Австралия
AUS
0.53% 1.27% 1.26% 0.19% 29% 2021 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Сан-Марино
SMR
0.52% 1.35% 1.30% -0.34% 53% 2022 Q4 19 2024 Q4 View history
Малайзия
MYS
0.69% 1.35% 1.32% 0.60% 40% 2023 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Швеция
SWE
0.69% 1.38% 1.51% 0.29% 29% 2022 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Макао, САР, Китай
MAC
0.83% 1.39% 1.45% 1.10% 38% 2022 Q4 16 2024 Q4 View history
Антигуа и Барбуда
ATG
1.00% 1.48% 1.55% -0.20% 36% 2023 Q4 52 2024 Q4 View history
Ирландия
IRL
0.72% 1.49% 1.59% -0.09% 24% 2021 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Марокко
MAR
0.99% 1.49% 1.40% 0.23% 31% 2021 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Гренада
GRD
1.23% 1.50% 1.51% 0.45% 40% 2023 Q2 68 2024 Q4 View history
Кипр
CYP
0.71% 1.50% 1.34% 0.16% 39% 2021 Q4 67 2024 Q4 View history
Сингапур
SGP
0.71% 1.51% 1.50% 0.06% 38% 2021 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Вануату
VUT
1.41% 1.52% 1.61% 0.02% 44% 2022 Q4 66 2023 Q4 View history
Намибия
NAM
0.89% 1.53% 1.87% 0.39% 36% 2019 Q4 44 2024 Q4 View history
Панама
PAN
0.73% 1.53% 1.61% 0.43% 46% 2023 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Чили
CHL
0.79% 1.56% 1.45% -0.38% 18% 2021 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Бахрейн
BHR
1.15% 1.57% 1.47% 0.78% 35% 2019 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Фиджи
FJI
1.55% 1.59% 1.59% 0.01% 22% 2019 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Таиланд
THA
0.96% 1.68% 1.80% 0.29% 35% 2021 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Сент-Винсент и Гренадины
VCT
1.34% 1.72% 1.89% 0.10% 29% 2019 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Греция
GRC
0.83% 1.76% 1.79% -0.97% 28% 2021 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
САР Гонконг, Китай
HKG
0.83% 1.77% 2.19% 0.64% 40% 2023 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Израиль
ISR
0.90% 1.79% 2.06% 0.41% 29% 2021 Q2 68 2024 Q4 View history
Исландия
ISL
0.68% 1.79% 2.21% -1.00% 42% 2022 Q4 62 2024 Q4 View history
Саудовская Аравия
SAU
1.10% 1.80% 1.86% 0.53% 40% 2020 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Хорватия
HRV
2.99% 1.82% 1.76% -0.14% 38% 2021 Q4 60 2024 Q4 View history
Словацкая Республика
SVK
0.57% 1.82% 2.23% -0.69% 37% 2021 Q4 60 2024 Q4 View history
Микронезия, Федерация. Св.
FSM
1.80% 1.83% 1.80% 0.74% 54% 2021 Q4 28 2022 Q4 View history
ЮАР
ZAF
1.11% 1.83% 1.90% -0.02% 40% 2021 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Узбекистан
UZB
1.00% 1.85% 3.02% -0.80% 27% 2023 Q4 28 2024 Q4 View history
Чехия
CZE
0.59% 1.95% 1.99% -0.31% 28% 2021 Q4 60 2024 Q4 View history
Словения
SVN
0.84% 1.96% 2.28% -1.02% 27% 2021 Q4 60 2024 Q4 View history
Филиппины
PHL
1.01% 1.96% 1.66% -0.49% 37% 2022 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Сент-Китс и Невис
KNA
1.51% 1.99% 2.09% -0.08% 55% 2021 Q4 66 2023 Q4 View history
Сент-Люсия
LCA
1.64% 1.99% 1.78% 0.09% 34% 2021 Q2 68 2024 Q4 View history
Белиз
BLZ
1.72% 2.06% 2.01% 0.52% 46% 2021 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Кувейт
KWT
2.00% 2.07% 1.63% 0.32% 38% 2021 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Тринидад и Тобаго
TTO
1.70% 2.13% 2.35% -0.95% 37% 2021 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Бутан
BTN
1.73% 2.15% 2.44% -0.35% 46% 2023 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Барбадос
BRB
1.69% 2.15% 2.26% -0.24% 40% 2023 Q2 62 2024 Q4 View history
Оман
OMN
1.25% 2.16% 2.29% 0.68% 48% 2023 Q4 48 2024 Q4 View history
Черногория
MNE
0.93% 2.16% 2.23% -0.63% 25% 2021 Q4 32 2024 Q4 View history
Бангладеш
BGD
1.50% 2.16% 2.11% -0.17% 40% 2023 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Маврикий
MUS
1.66% 2.17% 2.22% 0.08% 40% 2021 Q2 68 2024 Q4 View history
Эсватини
SWZ
2.12% 2.22% 2.35% -0.38% 19% 2018 Q4 58 2019 Q4 View history
Иордания
JOR
1.58% 2.23% 2.32% 0.71% 31% 2023 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Кабо-Верде
CPV
1.88% 2.28% 2.06% -0.20% 34% 2021 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Объединенные Арабские Эмираты
ARE
1.18% 2.30% 2.44% 0.86% 25% 2019 Q4 34 2024 Q4 View history
Индия
IND
1.29% 2.35% 2.87% -0.95% 49% 2021 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Сальвадор
SLV
1.42% 2.36% 2.39% -0.65% 37% 2021 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Коморские острова
COM
1.89% 2.41% 2.47% -0.68% 28% 2020 Q4 48 2024 Q4 View history
Ботсвана
BWA
1.46% 2.42% 2.64% -1.48% 46% 2023 Q2 68 2024 Q4 View history
Берег Слоновой Кости
CIV
1.50% 2.47% 2.59% -1.15% 32% 2021 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Джибути
DJI
2.06% 2.47% 2.20% 0.58% 37% 2020 Q4 48 2024 Q4 View history
Мавритания
MRT
1.72% 2.50% 2.61% -0.82% 49% 2023 Q2 68 2024 Q4 View history
Гамбия
GMB
1.76% 2.51% 2.93% -1.21% 34% 2022 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Колумбия
COL
1.22% 2.52% 2.78% -1.48% 29% 2022 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Босния и Герцеговина
BIH
1.17% 2.58% 2.37% -0.34% 42% 2021 Q4 38 2024 Q4 View history
Непал
NPL
1.92% 2.60% 2.55% -0.61% 32% 2022 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Сенегал
SEN
1.42% 2.67% 2.71% -0.58% 34% 2021 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Сербия
SRB
0.94% 2.68% 2.88% -1.08% 48% 2022 Q4 33 2024 Q4 View history
Аруба
ABW
2.23% 2.73% - -2.73% 100% 2018 Q4 1 2019 Q4 View history
Северная Македония
MKD
3.29% 2.76% 2.54% -0.05% 30% 2021 Q4 60 2024 Q4 View history
Китай
CHN
1.41% 2.81% 2.86% -0.10% 40% 2023 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Камерун
CMR
2.21% 2.85% 2.73% -0.72% 37% 2022 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Гайана
GUY
1.82% 2.87% 2.89% -0.42% 41% 2022 Q4 60 2024 Q4 View history
Мексика
MEX
0.87% 2.88% 3.84% -2.54% 28% 2021 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Никарагуа
NIC
1.42% 2.91% 3.22% -0.74% 42% 2021 Q4 50 2024 Q4 View history
Бенин
BEN
2.07% 2.98% 3.25% -0.98% 21% 2021 Q4 64 2024 Q4 View history
Уганда
UGA
2.35% 2.99% 3.57% -0.37% 38% 2023 Q2 62 2024 Q4 View history
Буркина-Фасо
BFA
2.04% 3.05% 3.15% -0.55% 19% 2021 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Мальдивы
MDV
3.08% 3.05% 3.38% 0.33% 37% 2022 Q2 68 2024 Q4 View history
Вьетнам
VNM
1.73% 3.10% 3.14% -0.03% 38% 2020 Q4 58 2024 Q4 View history
Катар
QAT
1.79% 3.13% 3.49% 0.59% 40% 2019 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Соломоновы Острова
SLB
2.69% 3.16% 3.62% -1.18% 29% 2022 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Камбоджа
KHM
2.23% 3.16% 3.25% -0.54% 34% 2023 Q4 60 2024 Q4 View history
Албания
ALB
2.22% 3.19% 3.73% 0.17% 31% 2018 Q4 62 2024 Q4 View history
Того
TGO
2.72% 3.27% 3.31% -0.97% 32% 2021 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Страны с формирующимся рынком и развивающиеся экономики
EMD
2.91% 3.31% 3.98% -2.84% 44% 2021 Q4 66 2024 Q4 View history
Габон
GAB
2.23% 3.31% 3.25% 0.20% 22% 2020 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Конго, Республика.
COG
2.12% 3.32% 3.41% -1.14% 32% 2022 Q2 64 2024 Q4 View history
Алжир
DZA
2.99% 3.32% 3.79% -1.20% 38% 2022 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Гватемала
GTM
3.17% 3.35% 2.76% -2.16% 35% 2021 Q2 68 2024 Q4 View history
Палау
PLW
1.65% 3.36% 3.21% -1.04% 53% 2022 Q4 19 2024 Q4 View history
Мали
MLI
3.13% 3.38% 3.40% -0.13% 24% 2021 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Самоа
WSM
3.47% 3.42% 3.36% -0.60% 25% 2021 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Кирибати
KIR
2.79% 3.44% 3.21% -0.15% 41% 2022 Q4 36 2024 Q4 View history
Нигер
NER
2.28% 3.50% 3.67% -0.54% 18% 2023 Q2 68 2024 Q4 View history
Венгрия
HUN
1.25% 3.51% 3.94% -2.63% 25% 2022 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Центральноафриканская Республика
CAF
2.72% 3.60% 3.59% -1.04% 29% 2023 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Парагвай
PRY
2.74% 3.61% 3.39% -2.21% 40% 2021 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Папуа-Новая Гвинея
PNG
2.58% 3.62% 3.84% -1.54% 41% 2023 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Экваториальная Гвинея
GNQ
2.55% 3.66% 3.67% -0.51% 34% 2022 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Тонга
TON
2.89% 3.69% 3.69% -0.04% 43% 2021 Q4 61 2024 Q4 View history
Тимор-Лешти
TLS
2.24% 3.74% 4.48% -0.87% 45% 2022 Q4 40 2024 Q4 View history
Коста-Рика
CRI
2.81% 3.75% 3.41% -1.69% 34% 2023 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Индонезия
IDN
1.17% 3.86% 4.25% -1.86% 41% 2022 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Лесото
LSO
3.51% 4.00% 3.78% 0.44% 27% 2021 Q4 62 2024 Q4 View history
Сейшельские острова
SYC
2.39% 4.04% 4.41% -0.13% 22% 2022 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Латвия
LVA
1.36% 4.20% 4.14% -2.11% 37% 2021 Q4 62 2024 Q4 View history
Мозамбик
MOZ
2.26% 4.25% 4.08% -0.91% 18% 2021 Q2 40 2024 Q4 View history
Пакистан
PAK
2.34% 4.39% 4.86% -1.20% 49% 2022 Q2 68 2024 Q4 View history
Боливия
BOL
3.12% 4.44% 4.72% 0.85% 50% 2020 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Египет, Арабская Республика.
EGY
3.44% 4.56% 5.32% -1.27% 38% 2022 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Афганистан
AFG
2.13% 4.69% 4.97% -0.36% 27% 2021 Q2 35 2021 Q2 View history
Эстония
EST
2.22% 4.74% 4.32% -2.37% 40% 2021 Q2 62 2024 Q4 View history
Гондурас
HND
3.68% 4.84% 4.56% -3.75% 38% 2021 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Руанда
RWA
3.29% 4.94% 5.04% -2.06% 21% 2022 Q4 64 2024 Q4 View history
Сьерра-Леоне
SLE
4.44% 4.94% 5.97% -2.25% 53% 2022 Q4 36 2024 Q4 View history
Польша
POL
7.39% 4.97% 4.76% -3.54% 29% 2021 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Либерия
LBR
3.31% 4.98% 5.23% -0.66% 43% 2022 Q2 46 2024 Q4 View history
Литва
LTU
4.40% 5.11% 4.68% -2.26% 34% 2021 Q4 62 2024 Q4 View history
Танзания
TZA
3.70% 5.17% 5.44% -4.63% 46% 2023 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Гвинея
GIN
3.20% 5.20% 7.51% -3.98% 39% 2023 Q2 40 2024 Q4 View history
Шри-Ланка
LKA
2.91% 5.38% 5.47% -2.89% 37% 2021 Q4 67 2023 Q2 View history
Мадагаскар
MDG
3.47% 5.41% 6.21% -4.15% 35% 2022 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Доминиканская Республика
DOM
3.12% 5.50% 4.53% -3.10% 35% 2021 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Сирийская Арабская Республика
SYR
3.61% 5.59% 6.70% -0.22% 34% 2006 Q4 44 2011 Q4 View history
Кыргызская Республика
KGZ
2.85% 5.73% 6.06% -2.14% 41% 2021 Q4 58 2024 Q4 View history
Чад
TCD
4.11% 5.84% 6.17% -0.78% 19% 2022 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Йемен, Республика.
YEM
4.72% 5.90% 8.31% 2.35% 32% 2013 Q4 40 2014 Q4 View history
Таджикистан
TJK
2.02% 5.95% 5.64% -3.18% 43% 2014 Q4 32 2016 Q4 View history
Кения
KEN
3.94% 6.41% 6.28% -5.42% 40% 2022 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Сан-Томе и Принсипи
STP
2.87% 6.50% 8.84% -6.27% 43% 2022 Q4 56 2024 Q4 View history
Монголия
MNG
5.68% 7.55% 6.38% -4.03% 34% 2023 Q4 62 2024 Q4 View history
Эквадор
ECU
4.36% 7.60% 9.24% -6.89% 37% 2019 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Бурунди
BDI
4.80% 7.66% 8.57% -3.76% 37% 2022 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Ямайка
JAM
6.92% 7.85% 7.31% -6.83% 43% 2021 Q2 68 2024 Q4 View history
Эфиопия
ETH
6.35% 7.99% 8.18% -3.00% 36% 2021 Q2 67 2024 Q4 View history
Гаити
HTI
5.87% 8.05% 9.03% -5.91% 32% 2022 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Иран, Исламская Республика.
IRN
5.19% 8.06% 10.75% -5.24% 46% 2022 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Ливия
LBY
6.71% 8.24% 7.31% 2.03% 41% 2023 Q4 66 2024 Q4 View history
Уругвай
URY
6.86% 8.42% 7.87% -6.30% 34% 2023 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Перу
PER
116.73% 8.73% 2.89% -7.84% 22% 2021 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Ливан
LBN
4.15% 9.20% 20.16% -6.57% 45% 2019 Q4 24 2020 Q4 View history
Нигерия
NGA
3.89% 9.24% 11.21% -8.13% 47% 2023 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Гвинея-Бисау
GNB
8.38% 9.54% 8.61% -7.23% 29% 2021 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Гана
GHA
5.91% 11.10% 12.85% -10.24% 38% 2022 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Лаосская НДР
LAO
9.48% 11.82% 12.12% -10.14% 41% 2022 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Малави
MWI
6.52% 11.95% 13.73% -11.51% 41% 2023 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Турция
TUR
4.09% 13.60% 18.06% -9.45% 43% 2023 Q2 68 2024 Q4 View history
Российская Федерация
RUS
7.54% 14.79% 13.78% -13.54% 37% 2023 Q2 62 2024 Q4 View history
Мьянма
MMR
11.91% 14.97% 17.31% 3.75% 34% 2018 Q4 58 2019 Q4 View history
Замбия
ZMB
12.17% 18.81% 19.77% -17.96% 46% 2023 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Молдова
MDA
46.60% 20.75% 6.21% -19.19% 32% 2021 Q2 62 2024 Q4 View history
Украина
UKR
98.67% 29.82% 22.57% -25.62% 34% 2023 Q4 58 2024 Q4 View history
Судан
SDN
19.14% 29.90% 32.12% -28.31% 47% 2020 Q4 64 2022 Q4 View history
Румыния
ROU
10.01% 30.14% 29.44% -28.84% 27% 2021 Q4 68 2024 Q4 View history
Венесуэла, РБ
VEN
35.63% 31.31% 41.78% -24.57% 50% 2015 Q2 16 2016 Q4 View history
Ирак
IRQ
42.50% 43.48% 41.52% -26.23% 38% 2021 Q2 68 2024 Q4 View history
Суринам
SUR
24.37% 44.27% 48.06% -22.37% 47% 2020 Q2 64 2024 Q4 View history
Болгария
BGR
12.94% 47.90% 46.12% -46.29% 33% 2021 Q4 67 2024 Q4 View history
Грузия
GEO
2.56% 53.83% 16.28% 43.71% 38% 2023 Q4 60 2024 Q4 View history
Аргентина
ARG
13.21% 55.32% 56.27% -53.52% 62% 2023 Q4 10 2024 Q4 View history
Казахстан
KAZ
33.05% 67.10% 9.44% -65.33% 38% 2021 Q4 62 2024 Q4 View history
Азербайджан
AZE
46.86% 68.40% 19.04% -61.85% 34% 2021 Q4 62 2024 Q4 View history
Южный Судан
SSD
35.16% 77.25% 80.94% -59.92% 26% 2021 Q4 19 2024 Q4 View history
Зимбабве
ZWE
31.44% 77.98% 88.74% -73.94% 50% 2021 Q4 25 2022 Q4 View history
Беларусь
BLR
52.42% 109.91% 50.08% -99.14% 32% 2021 Q4 62 2024 Q4 View history
Армения
ARM
90.57% 114.46% 8.23% -111.52% 23% 2023 Q4 62 2024 Q4 View history
Бразилия
BRA
78.49% 127.95% 154.75% -126.99% 46% 2023 Q2 68 2024 Q4 View history
Ангола
AGO
241.35% 258.42% 188.00% -257.80% 33% 2023 Q2 60 2024 Q4 View history
Конго, Дем. Представитель
COD
1005.67% 1294.49% 1286.09% -1285.75% 31% 2014 Q4 52 2016 Q4 View history
Тувалу
TUV
0.35% - - - - - - 2011 Q4 View history